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  • Viral genetics and transmission dynamics in the second wave of mpox outbreak in Portugal and forecasting public health scenarios
    Publication . Cordeiro, Rita; Caetano, Constantino P.; Sobral, Daniel; Ferreira, Rita; Coelho, Luís; Pelerito, Ana; de Carvalho, Isabel Lopes; Namorado, Sónia; Loyens, Dinis B.; Mexia, Ricardo; Fernandes, Cândida; Neves, José Miguel; João, Ana Luísa; Rocha, Miguel; Duque, Luís Miguel; Correia, Inês; Baptista, Teresa; Brazão, Cláudia; Sousa, Diogo; Filipe, Paulo; Alpalhão, Miguel; Maltez, Fernando; Póvoas, Diana; Pinto, Raquel; Caria, João; Patrocínio de Jesus, Rita; Pacheco, Patrícia; Peruzzu, Francesca; Méndez, Josefina; Ferreira, Luís; Mansinho, Kamal; Alves, João Vaz; Vasconcelos, Joana; Domingos, João; Casanova, Sara; Duarte, Frederico; Gonçalves, Maria João; Salvador, Mafalda Brito; Guimarães, Mafalda Andresen; Martins, Sueila; Oliveira, Marvin Silva; Santos, Daniela; Vieira, Luís; Núncio, Maria Sofia; Borges, Vítor; Gomes, João Paulo
  • Viral genetic clustering and transmission dynamics of the 2022 mpox outbreak in Portugal
    Publication . Borges, Vítor; Duque, Mariana Perez; Martins, João Vieira; Vasconcelos, Paula; Ferreira, Rita; Sobral, Daniel; Pelerito, Ana; de Carvalho, Isabel Lopes; Núncio, Maria Sofia; Borrego, Maria José; Roemer, Cornelius; Neher, Richard A.; O’Driscoll, Megan; Rocha, Raquel; Lopo, Sílvia; Neves, Raquel; Palminha, Paula; Coelho, Luís; Nunes, Alexandra; Isidro, Joana; Pinto, Miguel; Santos, João Dourado; Mixão, Verónica; Santos, Daniela; Duarte, Silvia; Vieira, Luís; Martins, Fátima; Machado, Jorge; Veríssimo, Vítor Cabral; Grau, Berta; Peralta-Santos, André; Neves, José; Caldeira, Margarida; Pestana, Mafalda; Fernandes, Cândida; Caria, João; Pinto, Raquel; Póvoas, Diana; Maltez, Fernando; Sá, Ana Isabel; Salvador, Mafalda Brito; Teófilo, Eugénio; Rocha, Miguel; Moneti, Virginia; Duque, Luis Miguel; e Silva, Francisco Ferreira; Baptista, Teresa; Vasconcelos, Joana; Casanova, Sara; Mansinho, Kamal; Alves, João Vaz; Alves, João; Silva, António; Alpalhão, Miguel; Brazão, Cláudia; Sousa, Diogo; Filipe, Paulo; Pacheco, Patrícia; Peruzzu, Francesca; de Jesus, Rita Patrocínio; Ferreira, Luís; Mendez, Josefina; Jordão, Sofia; Duarte, Frederico; Gonçalves, Maria João; Pena, Eduarda; Silva, Claúdio Nunes; Guimarães, André Rodrigues; Tavares, Margarida; Freitas, Graça; Cordeiro, Rita; Gomes, João Paulo
    Pathogen genome sequencing during epidemics enhances our ability to identify and understand suspected clusters and investigate their relationships. Here, we combine genomic and epidemiological data of the 2022 mpox outbreak to better understand early viral spread, diversification and transmission dynamics. By sequencing 52% of the confirmed cases in Portugal, we identified the mpox virus sublineages with the highest impact on case numbers and fitted them into a global context, finding evidence that several international sublineages probably emerged or spread early in Portugal. We estimated a 62% infection reporting rate and that 1.3% of the population of men who have sex with men in Portugal were infected. We infer the critical role played by sexual networks and superspreader gatherings, such as sauna attendance, in the dissemination of mpox virus. Overall, our findings highlight genomic epidemiology as a tool for the real-time monitoring and control of mpox epidemics, and can guide future vaccine policy in a highly susceptible population.