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Fortes de Almeida, Dora Maria

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  • Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Cryptocurrency Markets: A DCCA Analysis
    Publication . Almeida, Dora; Dionísio, Andreia; Ferreira, Paulo Jorge Silveira; Isabel Vieira
    Extraordinary events, regardless of their financial or non-financial nature, are a great challenge for financial stability. This study examines the impact of one such occurrence—the COVID19 pandemic—on cryptocurrency markets. A detrended cross-correlation analysis was performed to evaluate how the links between 16 cryptocurrencies were changed by this event. Cross-correlation coefficients that were calculated before and after the onset of the pandemic were compared, and the statistical significance of their variation was assessed. The analysis results show that the markets of the assessed cryptocurrencies became more integrated. There is also evidence to suggest that the pandemic crisis promoted contagion, mainly across short timescales (with a few exceptions of non-contagion across long timescales). We conclude that, in spite of the distinct characteristics of cryptocurrencies, those in our sample offered no protection against the financial turbulence provoked by the COVID-19 pandemic, and thus, our study provided yet another example of ‘correlations breakdown’ in times of crisis.
  • When two banks fall, how do markets react?
    Publication . Almeida, Dora; Dionísio, Andreia; Ferreira, Paulo Jorge Silveira
    The most recent fall of the Silicon Valley (SVB) and Credit Suisse (CS) banks increased the fear of a worldwide banking crisis. We analyse the impacts of their fall on five financial indices. We apply detrended fluctuation analysis, static and with sliding windows. We find a higher impact of the SVB fall on the efficiency dynamic of the studied indices, which revealed fluctuating efficiency and a loss of efficiency during the period of the falls. The fall of both banks contributed to some persistence in stock indices returns. The Nasdaq and STOXX Europe 600 Banks are the most and the least efficient indices, respectively. Despite the apparent evidence of inefficiency, it might not necessarily mean a capacity for abnormal profits.