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Advanced Persistent Threat Stage Prediction

datacite.subject.fosEngenharia e Tecnologia::Engenharia Eletrotécnica, Eletrónica e Informática
dc.contributor.advisorCorreia, Miguel Nuno Dias Alves Pupo
dc.contributor.advisorDias, Luís Filipe Xavier Mendonça
dc.contributor.authorPires,João Pedro Marinho
dc.date.accessioned2025-11-18T14:58:32Z
dc.date.available2025-11-18T14:58:32Z
dc.date.issued2023-05-12
dc.description.abstractAdvanced Persistent Threat (APT) have become one of the primary challenges in cyber defense. Charac terized by sophisticated and prolonged attacks, these threats infiltrate networks aiming to steal sensitive data, often remaining undetected for extended periods. This evolution in attack tactics underscores the urgent need for improvements in defense strategies and threat detection. Within the scope of this thesis, a framework named Advanced Persistent Threat Stage Prediction (APTSP) was developed. APTSP is capable of predicting, based on identified threats, the current stage of the attack, as well as the most likely subsequent stage. It also provides insights into the most probable perpetrating APT group, considering known APTs. To achieve this, APTSP takes network data classified by an Intrusion Detection System (IDS) and applies a Markov model to determine the probabilities for the APT stages. It also uses a machine learning model to identify the potential agent responsible for the attack. APTSP was experimentally evaluated on a public dataset, comparing its results with different solu tions. APTSP outperformed previous approaches in all the metrics used.por
dc.identifier.tid203659112
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.26/59857
dc.language.isoeng
dc.rights.uriN/A
dc.subjectAdvanced Persistent Threat (APT)
dc.subjectMarkov model
dc.subjectstage of the attack
dc.subjectidentify the potential agent
dc.subjectcyber defense.
dc.titleAdvanced Persistent Threat Stage Predictionpor
dc.typemaster thesis
dspace.entity.typePublication
thesis.degree.grantorAcademia Militar
thesis.degree.nameMestrado em Engenharia Electrotécnica Militar

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