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Evidence for a Time Lag in Solar Modulation of Galactic Cosmic Rays

dc.contributor.authorTomassetti, Nicola
dc.contributor.authorOrcinha, Miguel
dc.contributor.authorBarão, Fernando
dc.contributor.authorBertucci, Bruna
dc.date.accessioned2019-02-04T13:33:03Z
dc.date.available2019-02-04T13:33:03Z
dc.date.issued2017-11-08
dc.date.updated2019-02-04T13:33:03Z
dc.description.abstractThe solar modulation effect of cosmic rays in the heliosphere is an energy-, time-, and particle-dependent phenomenon that arises from a combination of basic particle transport processes such as diffusion, convection, adiabatic cooling, and drift motion. Making use of a large collection of time-resolved cosmic-ray data from recent space missions, we construct a simple predictive model of solar modulation that depends on direct solar-physics inputs: the number of solar sunspots and the tilt angle of the heliospheric current sheet. Under this framework, we present calculations of cosmic-ray proton spectra, positron/electron and antiproton/proton ratios, and their time dependence in connection with the evolving solar activity. We report evidence for a time lag ${\rm{\Delta }}T=8.1\pm \,1.2$ months, between solar-activity data and cosmic-ray flux measurements in space, which reflects the dynamics of the formation of the modulation region. This result enables us to forecast the cosmic-ray flux near Earth well in advance by monitoring solar activity.
dc.description.versionPeer Reviewed
dc.identifierAstrophys.J. 849 (2017) L32 Astrophysical Journal Letters 849 (2017) L32; DOI 10.3847/2041-8213/aa9373
dc.identifier.urihttp://dx.doi.org/10.3847/2041-8213/aa9373
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.26/27399
dc.language.isoeng
dc.titleEvidence for a Time Lag in Solar Modulation of Galactic Cosmic Rays
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt
rcaap.typearticle

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